Every game, every scoreline — modelled with Elo ratings, Poisson goals, the Dixon-Coles correction, and 10,000 Monte-Carlo simulations.
🏆 Predicted Champion: Argentina · Final: Argentina 2–1 Colombia · July 19, MetLife Stadium NJ
🇺🇸🇲🇽🇨🇦 USA · Mexico · Canada | 🏟️ 16 venues | ⚽ 48 teams · 104 matches | 📅 June 11 – July 19, 2026
| Teams | Groups | Matches | Days | Argentina Title Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 12 | 104 | 39 | 16.8% |
| Date | Home | Pred. | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 17 |  Colombia |
2–0 |
 Uzbekistan |
| Jun 17 |  Portugal |
2–0 |
 DR Congo |
| Jun 17 |  Austria |
2–0 |
 Jordan |
| Jun 17 |  England |
1–0 |
 Croatia |
| Jun 17 |  Panama |
0–1 |
 Ghana |
✅ = predicted to qualify (top 2) · 🟡 = predicted best-3rd-place qualifier · click a group to open its live page.
| Group | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A |  Mexico ✅ |
 South Korea ✅ |
 Czechia 🟡 |
 South Africa |
| B |  Switzerland ✅ |
 Canada ✅ |
 Bosnia & Herzegovina 🟡 |
 Qatar |
| C |  Brazil ✅ |
 Morocco ✅ |
 Scotland 🟡 |
 Haiti |
| D |  USA ✅ |
 Türkiye ✅ |
 Australia 🟡 |
 Paraguay |
| E |  Germany ✅ |
 Ivory Coast ✅ |
 Ecuador 🟡 |
 Curaçao |
| F |  Netherlands ✅ |
 Japan ✅ |
 Sweden 🟡 |
 Tunisia |
| G |  Egypt ✅ |
 Belgium ✅ |
 Iran 🟡 |
 New Zealand |
| H |  Spain ✅ |
 Uruguay ✅ |
 Saudi Arabia 🟡 |
 Cape Verde |
| I |  France ✅ |
 Norway ✅ |
 Senegal 🟡 |
 Iraq |
| J |  Argentina ✅ |
Austria ✅ |
 Algeria 🟡 |
Jordan |
| K | Portugal ✅ |
Colombia ✅ |
DR Congo 🟡 |
Uzbekistan |
| L | England ✅ |
Croatia ✅ |
Ghana 🟡 |
Panama |
| # | Team | Champion % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina |
16.8% | ████████████████████ |
| 2 | Spain |
15.0% | ██████████████████ |
| 3 | France |
7.9% | ██████████ |
| 4 | Portugal |
7.7% | █████████ |
| 5 | Germany |
6.3% | ████████ |
| 6 | Colombia |
5.9% | ███████ |
| 7 | Brazil |
5.7% | ███████ |
| 8 | England |
4.8% | ██████ |
| 9 | Netherlands |
4.1% | █████ |
| 10 | Morocco |
3.8% | █████ |
The model's most-likely route to the trophy → view the full bracket.
| Round | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| R32 | Argentina vs Bosnia & Herzegovina | 2–0 |
| R16 | Argentina vs Spain | 2–1 🔥 |
| QF | Argentina vs France | 2–1 🔥 |
| SF | Argentina vs Portugal | 2–1 |
| FINAL | Argentina vs Colombia | 2–1 🏆 |
The full interactive site is hosted on GitHub Pages:
https://yoyokits.github.io/WorldCup26AI/
| Page | Link |
|---|---|
| Home — Calendar, bracket tree, groups overview | index.html |
| Knockout bracket — R32 to Final | knockout.html |
| Prediction methodology | prediction_method.html |
| Groups A–L | A · B · C · D · E · F · G · H · I · J · K · L |
Features: interactive match cards with expandable stats, tournament bracket tree, month-by-month calendar with clickable dates, local timezone kickoff times, mobile-first responsive design.