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chore(reports): add Superstate USCC risk assessment (May 2026)#230

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chore(reports): add Superstate USCC risk assessment (May 2026)#230
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@spalen0

@spalen0 spalen0 commented May 31, 2026

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Summary

Closes #226. Adds a new risk assessment for Superstate USCC (the Superstate Crypto Carry Fund) at reports/report/superstate-uscc.md.

USCC reuses the USTB V5 contract family and shared AllowList, but the fund itself is materially different:

  • Strategy: crypto cash-and-carry (BTC + ETH basis) plus U.S. Treasuries
  • Custody: Anchorage Digital + futures venues (identities not publicly disclosed)
  • Sub-advisor: Superstate Inc. today, Bitwise effective June 1, 2026

Key onchain findings (verified May 31, 2026)

  • USCC token: 0x14d60E7FDC0D71d8611742720E4C50E7a974020c
  • USCC implementation: 0x9b7282Cb… (SuperstateTokenV5, VERSION "5")
  • ProxyAdmin: 0x2Bb7B8B4…
  • Single EOA 0x8abC89D9… owns BOTH the token and its ProxyAdmin — strictly more concentrated than USTB.
  • redemptionContract() = 0x0no atomic onchain redemption.
  • subscribe() reverts with OnchainSubscriptionsDisabled() (selector 0xdbf0cc51) — onchain subscriptions disabled.
  • superstateOracle() = 0x0 — only the Chainlink OCR feed exists as an onchain NAV source.
  • Onchain supply 12.55M × NAV $11.604523 = **$145.66M onchain** (matches DeFiLlama).

Final tier

Medium Risk (3.06/5.0) — higher than USTB (Low Risk, 2.33) due to:

  1. Single-EOA concentration on token + ProxyAdmin.
  2. Mark-to-market NAV (basis-trade P&L can produce real share-price drawdowns).
  3. No atomic onchain subscribe or redeem.
  4. Undisclosed futures-venue counterparty exposure.

Items left as TODO (verifiable claims I couldn't confirm this session)

  • 0xMacro audits 10 and 11 — dates/scope not loaded from PDFs.
  • Futures venues used by USCC (CME-only? offshore?).
  • ETH staking provider identity.
  • Top-10 holder concentration on Ethereum.
  • Chronicle Labs PoR liveness (dashboard rate-limited during assessment).
  • AUM divergence between superstate.com ($258.78M) and rwa.xyz ($197.8M).

Test plan

  • Reviewer to spot-check onchain values (totalSupply, owner, redemptionContract, superstateOracle) against the report.
  • Reviewer to confirm the Bitwise sub-advisor transition date (Jun 1, 2026).
  • Reviewer to gut-check the Medium-Risk tier given the basis-trade exposure.

🤖 Generated with Claude Code

Closes #226. USCC is the Superstate Crypto Carry Fund — a tokenized
basis-trade fund that reuses USTB's V5 contract family and shared
AllowList but is materially different in risk profile.

Key onchain findings (verified May 31, 2026):
- Single EOA 0x8abC89D9… owns both the USCC token and its ProxyAdmin.
- No atomic onchain redemption (redemptionContract = 0x0).
- Onchain subscriptions disabled (subscribe() reverts).
- Only NAV source onchain is the Chainlink OCR feed.

Final tier: Medium Risk (2.95 → 3.06 after conservative adjustment),
vs USTB at Low Risk (2.33).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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Risk Assessment: Superstate

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