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sovereign-risk

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High-dimensional resource allocation with reinforcement learning. A from-scratch PPO agent allocates across a 117-asset universe, beating equal-weight by 12.6% (deterministic) and 5-9% (stochastic, contagion); paired with a five-classifier prediction benchmark on World Bank and FRED macro data. Temporal validation, 1990-2023.

  • Updated May 25, 2026
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