Political economy of public contracts. I study how political institutions shape the design, competition, and performance of complex public contracts — using public-private partnerships (PPPs) and concessions as my laboratory. Doctoral researcher at Insper — research line Strategy in Public & Third-Sector Organizations (advisor: Sergio G. Lazzarini) — and senior consultant in PPPs & concessions at Radar PPP.

🌐 Website · 📄 CV · 🎓 Google Scholar · 🆔 ORCID · 📚 SSRN · ✉️ Email

• Who Gets to Compete? Institutional Barriers to Entry and Competition in Brazilian PPP Auctions — working paper (preprint forthcoming, SSRN).
• The Effect of Political Ideology on PPP Contracts in Brazilian Municipalities: Evidence from Close Elections — working paper, presented at MPSA 2025 (from the master's dissertation).
• Credible Nulls in Close-Election Regression Discontinuity Designs — under review; pre-registered equivalence tests.
• Politics after Contracting: renegotiation and the political economy of long-term public contracts — in progress, with Sergio G. Lazzarini.

➡️ Latest work: SSRN author page · full list on ORCID and Google Scholar.

• Political ideology and the adoption of PPPs in Brazilian municipalities (evidence from close elections).
• Politics after contracting — renegotiation and post-contractual dynamics.
• Institutional barriers to entry in PPP auctions (who gets to compete?).
• Credible nulls in close-election RDD — treating null results as findings, with equivalence tests.
• Measuring ideology with LLMs — a methodological note + a public, DOI-minted corpus.

Causal inference and quasi-experimental design (regression discontinuity, difference-in-differences, IV, synthetic control), applied econometrics, and computational text analysis — in R and Stata.

I believe empirical research should be transparent, reproducible, and connected to real policy problems. My aim is evidence that improves both academic understanding and public decision-making.

• Como os serviços públicos são oferecidos? — Politize!, 2021. How public services are delivered: NPM, concessions, PPPs, and the third sector.
• Crise financeira de 2008: você sabe o que aconteceu? — Politize!, 2020. A plain-language primer on the 2008 global financial crisis.

• Ph.D. in Business Administration, Insper — Strategy in Public & Third-Sector Organizations (advisor: Sergio G. Lazzarini).
• Master's candidate in Public Policy, UFABC — Institutions, Society, and Democratic Governance (advisor: Adalberto M. M. de Azevedo).

I'm building a reusable open-science workflow — preregistration (OSF), exhibit-by-exhibit replication archives, and DOI-minted data. Public tools:

• 🧪 replication-template — a single-command replication skeleton.
• 📦 open-science-toolkit — R helpers, PAP template, and a submission checklist.
• 📊 research-portfolio — R and Stata scripts: data analysis, econometrics, and causal inference for policy evaluation (RDD, DiD, PSM, IV, synthetic control).
• 💬 Prompts-Analise-Academica — reusable prompts for the research workflow: critical article analysis, adversarial self-review, refereeing, and publication strategy.

🌐 Website · 🎓 Google Scholar · 🆔 ORCID · 📚 SSRN · 💼 LinkedIn · 📄 Lattes · ✉️ Email

🛠️ Tools I use most: R and Stata (data.table, fixest, rdrobust), pre-registration, and a lot of careful reading of public contracts.

_{Interested in collaborating on the political economy of public contracts? Reach out.}