const bl888m = {
writes: ["prediction markets", "DeFi", "what the crowd gets wrong"], // on X, @bl888m
builds: ["assay: an AI hedge-fund desk", "market tooling", "content"],
rules: ["paper first", "receipts over hype", "the resolution is the source"],
now: "assay: six AI agents trading prediction markets, paper by default",
learns: "by sizing a bet, then reading how it resolved",
};
| Area | What it means in practice |
|---|---|
| An AI hedge-fund desk | six small agents that scout markets, estimate the real odds, size by Kelly, refuse most of it, and own a paper book |
| Mispriced probability | reading a prediction market and only betting where the crowd is predictably wrong, with a model you can read |
| Prediction markets and DeFi | Polymarket, Robinhood event contracts, referral operations, the market structure from the data and not the hype |
| Content | threads and video on X about how these markets actually price, written to be argued with |
Nothing here is a black box. If a number is on screen, the code can show the agent that made it.
Robinhood gave everyone the buy button. assay gives you the rest of the desk: six agents that read a market, estimate the real odds, size by Kelly, and pass on most of it. Paper by default, and honest about it.
simulated backtest, not live trading, and labelled that way on purpose
