- This is a method of
MCMCsampling for the temporalETAS modelusing theBayesianapproach, which is very classic. It was published by Ross et al. in 2021 and supplemented in 2022. For specific details, please refer to the original sources.
Ross, G. J. (2021). Bayesian Estimation of the ETAS Model for Earthquake Occurrences. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 111(3), 1473–1480. https://doi.org/10.1785/0120200198
Ross, G. J., & Kolev, A. A. (2022). Semiparametric Bayesian forecasting of SpatioTemporal earthquake occurrences. The Annals of Applied Statistics, 16(4), 2083–2100. https://doi.org/10.1214/21-AOAS1554