Add Delphi forecasting analysis#2
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Three-figure analysis comparing Marin Delphi and Llama 3 scaling law fits: - Figure 1: Forecast sensitivity via LOO over training budgets - Figure 2: Empirical FLOP factors by budget - Figure 3: IsoFLOP comparison with D* deltas Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
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Closing unmerged but tagged: v0.9 |
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Three-figure analysis analyzing Marin Delphi forecasts (Discord thread).
Figure 1: Forecast sensitivity via LOO over training budgets
Figure 2: Empirical FLOP factors by budget
Figure 3: IsoFLOP bias comparison with Llama 3